Possible ninja raise in cultural failure rates?

[Clergian of H.H.I.]

Tonight was my worst night smithy ever. Not only my worst night, but two fellow smiths worst nights ever. How bad? well, we are all 250 smiths.

Me - 29 infused brellium sheets, 12 combines, 2 successes, a bp and a bracer

Friend1 - 5 bp combines, all fails

Friend2 - 8 bracer combines, 4 bp combines - 1 bp success

Now if it had just happened to me, I wouldnt have worried about it, but these are rediculous failure rates spread across the board to 3 different types of cultura smiths, DE, High elf, and dwarf. Please post any recent failure streaks of the sort OR recent streaks of success and maybe all three of us just were incredibly unlucky. Thanks, harhar!

[Kaysha Soulsinger]

Made a few combines last friday, 4/5 on Fierce Heraldic, 3/6 on Luminant Heraldic, with a raw skill of 229. Just prior to that, I succeeded on the 2nd attempt on my Smithy Trophy.

I don't think they nerfed anything, you just had bad luck with the RNG.

[Clergian of H.H.I.]

those combines were prior to last wednesday's patch, anyone have any info after last wednesday's patch?

And i wouldnt even have posted here if it was only myself that this happened too, I would have chalked it up to bad luck, but this was 3 different 250 smiths, with the exact same AWEFUL "luck". and 2 of uswerent just doing 4 or 5 combines, but 12 each, and only 3 successes out of 24 combines between us both.

[kronas]

did some smithing today,

1 out of 6 attempts on helanic legs,
1 out of 2 attempts on bracer

250 skill smith
305 str/dex/wis

geerlock

[Kradlum]

Got 2 Crimson Darksplint Bracers, 1 Crimson Darksplint boots from 9 tries with skill 229+Geerlok, STR 255.

1 less piece than I hoped to make in 9 combines, but nothing out of the ordinary.

[Clergian of H.H.I.]

34 cultural combines since wednesday ... 3 successes. This was all done on plate with 250 skill. On chain, i went 2 for 6.... *sigh*

[Ihnanna]

1/3 on a Thunderous Heraldic Bp today
238 Smithing + 5% geerlok

Got a skillup to 239 on last and successfull combine.

[wombat]

On CT Weapons x 1, Sheild x 5 and Chain x 4, I had 40% average success, this includes 1/5 on shields.

This is far worse than normal for me. 237/248 skill level.

[Clergian of H.H.I.]

ive only experienced the horrible failures on Cultural. on CT stuff im still about 90% =P

[Sinuuyanea Nocturne]

Once again:
[list=1][*]Stats are <b>NOT</b> important for success rate, and[*]There are no "stealth nerfs" on success rates.[/list]

FAQs are your friend. <img src=http://www.boomspeed.com/sinuuyanea/feliciachaorazz.gif alt="Dont make me claw your eyes out!">

[Clergian of H.H.I.]

maybe it was an accidental change, kind of like how they fix a door in blackburrow but suddenly bards dont work. Im to afraid to attempt anymore cultural hehe, friends and I have lost boatloads since wednesday. Have had good success with pottery though =D

[Kaysha Soulsinger]

those combines were prior to last wednesday's patch, anyone have any info after last wednesday's patch?

Huh?? This was in reply to my message?

Sorry, you got your dates wrong then, if it was. The patch was on the 23rd. The combines I listed were on thursday 24th, 1 day AFTER the patch (yes, I admit I was 1 day off, but I just remembered something else I did that same day which definately puts it at thursday and not at friday as I initially thought).

[Clergian of H.H.I.]

sorry, when you said "last friday" i thought you meant the friday prior to the patch, not the one just after.


any 250 raw skill smiths have any info on combines post wednesday's patch? its definite that people with skills in the 225-240 range have seen no change. But i have found a couple other instances on my server with people with 250 skill not haveing any luck with cultural.

[Akassha]

I made a bunch of full mithril this weekend, probably had normal or better success rates. My rate over several hundred pieces made averages 40%. While I don't know exactly how many combines I did, I know I had 8 pieces to put on the trader and I doubt I failed more than 3 or 4 times.

[OberonMiM]

thats too small of a sample in too short of a time to make an adequate mathmatical judgment of the skillups

The RNG is sketchy because its only psuedorandom (there is no such thing as a true random number that can be generated by a computer because there is always a seed number)

Its statistics. You just dont often hear about the people complaining that they had too many successes after a patch and that they made items too easy to make.

Trust me for every bad run you have someone probably had a good run