Dry spell over!! And a Question about Heraldic Success Rates

[Eshelon]

Well after my 160 combine 2 skill dry spell things started going better. Did 420 combines over the last couple of days for a total of 25 skill ups. Which comes to around 16.8 combines per skill. Which I'm pretty sure most will consider pretty good.

My skill is now sitting at 216 which makes my +5% modified skill what.. 227? What would my success rate on Heraldic be like? Would love to hear from someone who has tried it at this skill.

[Kaysha Soulsinger]

I've started as low as 207 skill to create this (although Geerlok put me at 217-ish). As low as that skill, my successrate wasn't too good, around 20 percent at best. It has gone up with increasing skill. Currently, at 229 (240 effective with Trophy), I'm doing about 40 percent successrate.

However, one thing I have noticed is that the RNG is more important than your skill. I've never done *huge* batches of Heraldic combines in one session (like 15 combine attempts or more at once), with varying successrates. I've had it as good as 4 out of 5, and as bad as 2 out of 13.

I think the noise caused by the RNG in your successrate is of bigger influence at this skill, than your actual skill level.

[Barb_Smith_01]

OK here is the deal with Heraldic success rates (there are quite a few posts on this.... search for BD cultural).

At max mod skill of 252, you have about a 42%-ish chance.

Substract 1% for each point of skill you are under 252.
Except dont go below 5% as there is always a chance to succeed.

Therefore at 227 mod skill you're looking at ABOUT at 17% success rate.
I.e. you might have some real good luck. or you might not.

[Fallwell]

Re: Chances

I attempted Heraldic for the first time around 219, then around 225 and again at 232. Tried 9 times and failed on all of them. I would pump the money you'll lose on getting more skillups))

~Fall