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  • Changes to success rate?

    Have anyone noticed any changes to success rate lately? Been noticing a large number of failures lately, so today i counted my successes and failures on a run of cultural armor:
    Total combines on tailoring with 250 skill and GM needle: 11
    Total success on tailoring: 2.

    Thats under 20% success, been at around 75% since i started making it, till around a month ago when i first noticed the failure increase.


    Same with trivail combines:
    31 oak bark tannin combines at 200 brewing and geerlok: 26 successes.
    Thats again a lot higher than the usual 5%, should only have failed max 2 combines.

    42 Purified water at 200 brewing + geerlok: 39 results, close to the 5%, still over, but could be a fluke.

    39 Celestial Tempers at 200 brewing + geerlok: 35 success.
    Again way above the 5%, should only have lost 2 or so.

    35 Mithril Bonings at 187 smithing + geerlok: 31 success:
    Again over the standard 5%.


    And while were at it, done 5 tries at the Plane of Fire and Plane of Earth silk combines, 1 success. Also 20%, but since only done those the last few days i cant say how success rate was earlier.


    Unfortunately this is a quite short number of combines, so dont prove much, could just be me thats been unlucky on these (and on the last 3 weeks or so, didnt keep track then), so if anyone else could post their results on cultural tailoring, and way trivial combines, it would be nice.

  • #2
    Someone once posted a theory of how the RNG seems to be streaky:

    i) Good success rate, good skillup rate
    ii) Good success rate, low skillup rate
    iii) Low success rate, good skillup rate
    iv) Low success rate, low skillup rate

    Seems to cycle between those for me, not sure of others

    I suspect that what you're seeing is the RNG getting back at you for averaging 75%+ before. From others' experience, cultural should be about 50% success at max skill (based on posts in tailoring and smithing)
    Ilona - Gwenae - Amarantha - Deandra - Minim

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    • #3
      Tried to make 2 tae ew shields today

      Skill Base 216+15% hammer os about 248

      Failed both. Although i did skill up to 217 on the first combine
      Oberan Lifebringer
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