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I know there are people who like to see raw data, so I thought I'd post some from last night. I hope it posts well.
Skill is skill level
Failure is number of failures at that level
Success is number of failures at that level
Suc_Fail is whether the skillup was on a Success or Failure
Run is Failure + Success (attempts)
Suc_Rate is success/attempts
5ptavg is a moving average of the success rate
FAQ_suc is the success rate according to the formula.
I do not have skill modifiers for either skill
It's not a lot of data (200 pottery combines, 99 baking combines) but for people who analyze this stuff, every piece usually counts. If I've forgotten any important info, let me know.
Medium Bowl (Trivial 122)
Skill_____Fail____Success_Skillup_Run__Suc._Rate__ 5ptavg._FAQsuc.
__57_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0________
__58____10_______1_______F____11______0.09_______
__59____13_______1_______F____14______0.07____0.09 ____0.19
__60_____3_______0_______F_____3_________0____0.09 _____0.2
__61_____2_______1_______S_____3______0.33____0.13 ____0.21
__62_____2_______0_______F_____2_________0____0.21 ____0.22
__63____13_______3_______F____16______0.19____0.26 ____0.23
__64_____3_______2_______S_____5_______0.4____0.21 ____0.24
__65_____0_______1_______S_____1_________1____0.22 ____0.25
__66____16_______3_______S____19______0.16____0.24 ____0.26
__67_____3_______1_______F_____4______0.25____0.19 ____0.27
__68____10_______3_______F____13______0.23____0.21 ____0.28
__69_____5_______0_______F_____5_________0____0.23 ____0.29
__70_____4_______3_______S_____7______0.43_____0.2 _____0.3
__71_____2_______0_______F_____2_________0____0.17 ____0.31
__72_____3_______0_______F_____3_________0____0.25 ____0.32
__73_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.35 ____0.33
__74_____5_______2_______F_____7______0.29____0.37 ____0.34
__75_____6_______7_______S____13______0.54____0.39 ____0.35
__76_____4_______2_______S_____6______0.33____0.36 ____0.36
__77_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.37 ____0.37
__78_____5_______1_______F_____6______0.17____0.22 ____0.38
__79_____3_______1_______F_____4______0.25____0.28 ____0.39
__80_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.28 _____0.4
__81_____3_______3_______S_____6_______0.5____0.28 ____0.41
__82_____6_______2_______S_____8______0.25____0.31 ____0.42
__83____15_______5_______F____20______0.25_____0.3 ____0.43
__84_____4_______3_______S_____7______0.43____0.33 ____0.44
__85_____2_______0_______F_____2_________0________ ____
__86_____0_______3_______S_____3_________1________ _
__87_____4_______2_____________6______0.33________ _
Wisdom 130
% Success 25%
% Skillups on Successes 37%
Average Combines per skillup 6.5
Number of Consecutive Skillups 5
Longest Run w/o Skillup 20
Apricot Marmalade (to 61); Marmalade Sandwiches (to 71), Trivial 99
Skill__Fail_Success_Skillup___Run_Suc._Rate_5ptavg ._FAQsuc.
__54_____6_______0_______F_____6_________0_____0.2 ____0.14
__55_____0_______1_______S_____1_________1____0.25 ____0.15
__56_____2_______1_______S_____3______0.33____0.24 ____0.16
__57____13_______5_______S____18______0.28_____0.3 ____0.17
__58_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.26 ____0.18
__59_____3_______1_______S_____4______0.25____0.29 ____0.19
__60_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.42 _____0.2
__61_____4_______3_______S_____7______0.43____0.46 ____0.21
__62_____6_______7_______F____13______0.54____0.52 ____0.22
__63_____0_______1_______S_____1_________1____0.44 ____0.23
__64_____1_______2_______S_____3______0.67____0.43 ____0.24
__65_____7_______1_______F_____8______0.13____0.35 ____0.25
__66_____2_______1_______F_____3______0.33____0.39 ____0.26
__67_____1_______1_______F_____2_______0.5____0.33 ____0.27
__68_____3_______4_______F_____7______0.57____0.31 ____0.28
__69_____9_______4_______F____13______0.31_____0.3 ____0.29
__70_____7_______0_______F_____7_________0____0.29 _____0.3
__71_____1_______0_____________1_________0____0.19 ____0.31
Wisdom 130
% Success 32%
% Skillups on Successes 41%
Average Combines per skillup 5.5
Number of Consecutive Skillups 5
Longest Run w/o Skillup 18
Skill is skill level
Failure is number of failures at that level
Success is number of failures at that level
Suc_Fail is whether the skillup was on a Success or Failure
Run is Failure + Success (attempts)
Suc_Rate is success/attempts
5ptavg is a moving average of the success rate
FAQ_suc is the success rate according to the formula.
I do not have skill modifiers for either skill
It's not a lot of data (200 pottery combines, 99 baking combines) but for people who analyze this stuff, every piece usually counts. If I've forgotten any important info, let me know.
Medium Bowl (Trivial 122)
Skill_____Fail____Success_Skillup_Run__Suc._Rate__ 5ptavg._FAQsuc.
__57_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0________
__58____10_______1_______F____11______0.09_______
__59____13_______1_______F____14______0.07____0.09 ____0.19
__60_____3_______0_______F_____3_________0____0.09 _____0.2
__61_____2_______1_______S_____3______0.33____0.13 ____0.21
__62_____2_______0_______F_____2_________0____0.21 ____0.22
__63____13_______3_______F____16______0.19____0.26 ____0.23
__64_____3_______2_______S_____5_______0.4____0.21 ____0.24
__65_____0_______1_______S_____1_________1____0.22 ____0.25
__66____16_______3_______S____19______0.16____0.24 ____0.26
__67_____3_______1_______F_____4______0.25____0.19 ____0.27
__68____10_______3_______F____13______0.23____0.21 ____0.28
__69_____5_______0_______F_____5_________0____0.23 ____0.29
__70_____4_______3_______S_____7______0.43_____0.2 _____0.3
__71_____2_______0_______F_____2_________0____0.17 ____0.31
__72_____3_______0_______F_____3_________0____0.25 ____0.32
__73_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.35 ____0.33
__74_____5_______2_______F_____7______0.29____0.37 ____0.34
__75_____6_______7_______S____13______0.54____0.39 ____0.35
__76_____4_______2_______S_____6______0.33____0.36 ____0.36
__77_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.37 ____0.37
__78_____5_______1_______F_____6______0.17____0.22 ____0.38
__79_____3_______1_______F_____4______0.25____0.28 ____0.39
__80_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.28 _____0.4
__81_____3_______3_______S_____6_______0.5____0.28 ____0.41
__82_____6_______2_______S_____8______0.25____0.31 ____0.42
__83____15_______5_______F____20______0.25_____0.3 ____0.43
__84_____4_______3_______S_____7______0.43____0.33 ____0.44
__85_____2_______0_______F_____2_________0________ ____
__86_____0_______3_______S_____3_________1________ _
__87_____4_______2_____________6______0.33________ _
Wisdom 130
% Success 25%
% Skillups on Successes 37%
Average Combines per skillup 6.5
Number of Consecutive Skillups 5
Longest Run w/o Skillup 20
Apricot Marmalade (to 61); Marmalade Sandwiches (to 71), Trivial 99
Skill__Fail_Success_Skillup___Run_Suc._Rate_5ptavg ._FAQsuc.
__54_____6_______0_______F_____6_________0_____0.2 ____0.14
__55_____0_______1_______S_____1_________1____0.25 ____0.15
__56_____2_______1_______S_____3______0.33____0.24 ____0.16
__57____13_______5_______S____18______0.28_____0.3 ____0.17
__58_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.26 ____0.18
__59_____3_______1_______S_____4______0.25____0.29 ____0.19
__60_____1_______0_______F_____1_________0____0.42 _____0.2
__61_____4_______3_______S_____7______0.43____0.46 ____0.21
__62_____6_______7_______F____13______0.54____0.52 ____0.22
__63_____0_______1_______S_____1_________1____0.44 ____0.23
__64_____1_______2_______S_____3______0.67____0.43 ____0.24
__65_____7_______1_______F_____8______0.13____0.35 ____0.25
__66_____2_______1_______F_____3______0.33____0.39 ____0.26
__67_____1_______1_______F_____2_______0.5____0.33 ____0.27
__68_____3_______4_______F_____7______0.57____0.31 ____0.28
__69_____9_______4_______F____13______0.31_____0.3 ____0.29
__70_____7_______0_______F_____7_________0____0.29 _____0.3
__71_____1_______0_____________1_________0____0.19 ____0.31
Wisdom 130
% Success 32%
% Skillups on Successes 41%
Average Combines per skillup 5.5
Number of Consecutive Skillups 5
Longest Run w/o Skillup 18